Tis’ The Season to IPO

November 10, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Following our favoriate IPO anaylst, Francis Gaskins of IPO Desktop we have radared $DG which is scheduled to trade on Friday, November 13.  

While discount stores are booming in a down economy it is uncertain how this IPO will perform from a purely trading stand point.  Many IPO’s are good for an easy 5-15% gain or short gain.  We are still doing more research using information from the IPO Report. 

  • Largest discount retailer in the United States by number of stores, with 8,577 stores located in 35 states as of July 31, 2009, primarily in the southern, southwestern, midwestern and eastern United States.
  • New DG stores are typically cash flow positive in their first year, generally pay back capital in under two years, and, DG believes, deliver attractive returns relative to competitors.

While this all sounds positive the oracle of IPO’s doesn’t see it giving DG only a 7 out of 20.  Please write in with any feedback.

SCORECARD Mgt Market Market Do- Proprie- Total
1-5, 5 is high Growth mination tary rating
20 is perfect        2          2           2           1     7

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The Technology of Making Gains

November 10, 2009 · Leave a Comment

Never one to miss a good call, the hardware has been one of our most fun trading sectors trading heavily in $APPL, $DELL and $HPQ.  Each one of these has been around a 50% gain since or original July 2009 calls shown here. 

Apple (AAPL: 202.19*, +0.73, +0.36%) is perhaps the best-performing big company in America at the moment. Despite sluggish consumer spending over the past year, shoppers remained willing, even eager, to pay a premium for Apple computers, phones and music players.

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As Sharp As A Razor

October 14, 2009 · 1 Comment

Always one to brag (kidding, well sorta) we called the bottom on $RZ almost too easy.  Check back on the 28th and see for yourself: http://themarketorder.com/2009/09/28/bouncing-raser/.  I have included a excert from Market News Video: 

“Raser provided investors with an update on its plug-in hybrid electric vehicle project. The company had demonstrated its technology in California with Arnold Schwarznegger, and also on CNBC, using an H3 Hummer. Raser said the SUV can deliver 140 miles per gallon, and can go 50 miles without using gasoline and using up only 60% of its battery pack. Raser is discussing potential partnerships with several automakers, and is completing its final review of its drivetrain technology with General Motors (MTLQQ).”

RZ chart

If you enjoyed average buy in around $1.30 like we did then the gain thus far is enough to lock in profits.  There is no telling if this will stall out as it tests the $1.75 so if you do decide to hold keep your eyes peeled.

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Sliding Off the Rail

October 14, 2009 · Leave a Comment

I am watching $RA: As my readers know by know I am a big fan of bounce plays, after all what goes down must bounce!! It will be interesting and provide some great trading opportunities as more IPO’s start to roll out.  ”Private equity firm Blackstone Group’s chief executive said the worst of the industry’s slump is behind it, and dealflow and IPO investments are opening up again.”

Watching the IPO Desktop RailAmerica (RA), Largest owner and operator of short line and regional freight railroads in North America, Mr. Gaskins was quoted, “Fortress PE IPO bailout falls flat: –9.6%.”  You can check out the report here:  http://www.gaskinsco.com/linkto-ra.shtml To me this means watch it and see what it does next couple sessions.  Somewhere it will hit a bottom and that is going to be easy money.  

Look for new IPO’s this week $CRIC and $ZSTN for some possible action.

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Bouncing Raser

September 28, 2009 · 1 Comment

$RZ looks to have bottomed out and could be getting ready to bounce. Target prices seem to be pointing well above their current levels and there has been some upward movement in todays trading since it bottomed. All things considered this looks like a good entry point albeit with some need for caution, i.e. averaging in might be the wisest course.

rz

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I’m Still Looking At iCAD

September 24, 2009 · Leave a Comment

$ICAD was trading at $1.55 when first featured, @ $2.26 today the stock has done pretty well for us. It’s been bouncing off the newest resistance level lately with a good size dip today. It looks like it might be worth taking a look at if you were looking for a dip to enter on. It is definitely worth looking at given its strong charge into its current position. There are many folks in the know who believe the company will outperform and the target price of three bucks looks about right.

icad

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SFI, Why? Because We Like You.

September 22, 2009 · Leave a Comment

$SFI developed a new support after the big gains of last week, up $1.23 since first featured. We are also looking at how the stock is pushing forward with impressive resilience against resistance as it reaches intraday highs approaching four bucks a share.

sfi

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I Caramba With iStar

September 17, 2009 · Leave a Comment

$SFI gained a big 40% the day after we posted thusly,

ISTAR, You Star

$SFI has moved respectably from $2.13 to todays $2.37 since first featured. The company has been buoyed by stability coming back into the commercial real estate business. Even with grumblings to the contrary I look at the stability that SFI has found thus far in its share price and it seems likely worth keeping your head screwed on and waiting on some more meaningful returns. LINK

sfi

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A Not So Sterling Reputation

September 15, 2009 · Leave a Comment

$STSA has had some trouble lately as it has struggled and for the most part failed to meet some of its commitments.

Sterling Financial Corp. said it plans to defer paying interest payments on its outstanding junior subordinated notes, citing its “ongoing strategy to manage through the current economic cycle.”

The Spokane holding company for Sterling Savings Bank (NASDAQ: STSA) also said it will defer regular quarterly dividends on its $303 million in preferred stock.

The bank said it’s allowed to defer interest payments on its junior subordinated notes for up to 20 consecutive quarters without default.

This event having happened at the end of August seems to decrease in relevance as it shrinks in the rearview mirror. Also significant is that there has been little in the way of rumor and innuendo regarding the company, which may be a part of the reason for today’s jump in share price. We might test the waters out and keep you updated. The pessimism regarding the issue though seems to already be built into the share price.

STSA is the parent company of Sterling Savings Bank and Golf Savings Bank.

stsa

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ISTAR, You Star

September 15, 2009 · 1 Comment

$SFI has moved respectably from $2.13 to todays $2.37 since first featured. The company has been buoyed by stability coming back into the commercial real estate business. Even with grumblings to the contrary I look at the stability that SFI has found thus far in its share price and it seems likely worth keeping your head screwed on and waiting on some more meaningful returns.

istar

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